When President Joe Biden shared his opinion last week that the Chinese Communist Party does not intend to invade Taiwan in the coming year, it was met with a sigh of cautious relief.
Could President Biden be right about this? After all, it was the Biden Administration in 2022 — and only the Biden Administration — warning of an imminent invasion of Ukraine by Russian forces. Almost everyone else — including officials in Ukraine — dismissed the idea even as Russian officials denied it…right up until February 24, 2022.
Could Biden be right twice?
Like Russia’s position in Ukraine prior to 2022, China is already at war with Taiwan in many ways.